... but they're cutting edge thinkers, I of course would be a petty crank.
I'm trying to put myself in their shoes and imagine what my perception would have to be like if I took until 2010 to reach these same conclusions. I would guesstimate my mind to be something akin to blackstrap molasses running down a tree. Incredibly, glacially, slow. If I squint and see how they would have finally been prompted to make these deductions based on recent events, it seems to me they would be extremely loathe to think much about anything.
Oil is abiotic. There was never any shortage. The only shortage has been the brains to tap more of it. What you get with a shortage like that caused by dullards will be the second easiest conflict resolution to seek and that is war for the particularly common mind. War is not coming over peak oil. War is coming over peak brains.